The Philadelphia Phillies (0-3) and New York Yankees (2-1) open a 3-game series Monday at Yankee Stadium that could provide a preview to October baseball. First pitch is at 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting since the 2021 season when the teams split 4 games
The short-handed Phillies were swept by the Texas Rangers in a 3-game series to open the season. The absences OF Bryce Harper (elbow) and 1B Rhys Hoskins (knee) have been evident as the team could only muster 1 run on 9 hits in a 2-1 loss Sunday night.
The Yankees took 2 of 3 from the San Francisco Giants to open the year and scored at least 5 runs in each game. OF Aaron Judge picked up where he left off, going 6-for-13 (.462) with 2 homers and 4 RBIs. OF Giancarlo Stanton also hit 2 homers in the opening series.
Phillies at Yankees projected starters
RHP Taijuan Walker vs. LHP Nestor Cortes
Walker was 12-5 with a 3.49 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 157 1/3 IP last season.
- In 2 starts against NYY last year: 1-0, 4.50 ERA, 1.50 WHIP
- Has held current Yankees hitters to a .254 BA and a 21.2 K% in 137 plate appearances
Cortes was 12-4 with a 2.44 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 158 1/3 IP last season.
- Did not face the Phillies last season, but only allowed interleague hitters a .167 OBA in 60 ABs.
- Was 6-1 with a 1.95 ERA, 0.82 WHIP and 9.1 K/9 in 15 home starts last year.
Phillies at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:24 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-145) | Yankees -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Phillies at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Phillies 3
Moneyline
The Yankees are the clear choice, and I’m not usually interested in -175 moneylines. However, they’re at home, with Nasty Nestor on the hill and have mashed through the first 3 games. Try to secure a half-unit by taking YANKEES -175.
Run line/Against the spread
The Phillies allowed 29 runs in their first 3 games, and the Yankees won 2 of the 3 by multiple runs. The +120 return here is pretty good considering how poorly Philly has come out of the gates. Take the YANKEES -1.5 (+120).
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Over/Under
So the Yankees have been good for 5 runs in every game, and the Phillies scored 7, 3 and 1. This is an overwhelmingly good total that could go either way. We would need the Phils to score 3 just to push, but it’s a lot to ask to get anything more in order to cash it.
PASS.
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