One team will advance to the 2024 Copa America semifinal to face Argentina, and one team will go home when Canada and Venezuela collide in a quarterfinal match on Friday at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Canadians are in unfamiliar territory. This is the first time they have reached the quarterfinals of a major tournament. Meanwhile, with a win over Canada, Venezuela will at least match the best result in a major tournament in team history: a fourth-place finish at Copa America in 2011. The winner of Friday's game will face Lionel Messi and Argentina, who beat Ecuador in a penalty shootout on Thursday night.
Kickoff is set for 9 p.m. ET. Both teams are listed at +180 on the 90-minute money line (risk $100 to win $180), while a 90-minute draw is +190. The over/under for total goals is 2.5, with the Under favored at -180. Both sides are -114 to advance. Before making any Canada vs. Venezuela picks, be sure to see the 2024 Copa America predictions from SportsLine soccer insider Brandt Sutton.
Sutton is a former collegiate soccer player and has been SportsLine's top soccer editor since 2017. He has followed soccer closely for much longer and factors in managerial tactics, projected lineups and past performances to make the most informed decisions possible.
Sutton finished the 2022-23 Champions League season with a 16-7 record (+8.93 units) on SportsLine's UCL pick sheet and is 25-20-2 (+3.20) in 2023-24. He also finished 2022 as SportsLine's No. 1 soccer expert with a 165-130-2 mark, returning nearly $2,200 for $100 players and is 139-136-5 since the 2022 World Cup.
Now, Sutton has broken down Venezuela vs. Canada from every angle and has locked in his picks and 2024 Copa America predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see Sutton's picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Canada vs. Venezuela:
- Canada vs. Venezuela money line: Venezuela +180, Canada +180, Draw +190
- Canada vs. Venezuela over/under: 2.5 goals
- Canada vs. Venezuela to advance: Venezuela -114, Canada -114
- VEN: Salomon Rondon is tied for the team's all-time lead in goals in Copa America (six)
- CAN: Maxime Crepeau leads Copa America in saves (16)
- Canada vs. Venezuela picks: See picks at SportsLine
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Why you should back Venezuela
La Vinotinto enter the quarterfinal matchup on a roll. They won all three of their group stage matches (over Ecuador, Mexico and Jamaica), outscoring their opponents 6-1. This is the first time in team history that Venezuela have won all three of their group stage matches.
In addition, La Vinotinto will face a Canada team that has struggled to score under new manager Jesse Marsch. Since Marsch took over on May 13, the Canadians have scored only one goal across five matches. They have conceded six goals over that same stretch. See which team to pick here.
Why you should back Canada
Alphonso Davies has been very active offensively at left back for the Canadians. The 23-year-old Davies, who plays for Bayern Munich, is second on the team in touches (202), with more than half of those touches (106) in the attacking half of the field. He also is second on the team with four shots and two chances created and leads the team with 23 recoveries.
Though the team has only one goal and just 24 shots so far in the tournament, Canada has been getting quality shots. Their average shot distance is 16 yards, which is the shortest in the tournament. They also average 0.17 expected goals per shot, which is the best in the tournament field. See which team to pick here.
How to make Venezuela vs. Canada picks
Sutton has broken down Canada vs. Venezuela from every possible angle and is leaning Under on the goal total. He also has locked in two best bets, including one that returns plus money. He's sharing his 2024 Copa America picks and analysis only at SportsLine.
So who wins Canada vs. Venezuela on Friday, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see which wagers in Venezuela vs. Canada have all the value, all from the proven soccer expert who has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the world, and find out.
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