The Philadelphia Phillies (52-47) and Pittsburgh Pirates (40-59) meet Friday to continue a 4-game set at PNC Park. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Philadelphia leads 1-0 after an 8-7 win in Thursday’s series opener.
The Phillies are 3-1 over their last 4 games. Philadelphia hurlers own a 3.22 ERA in their last 16 road games.
The Pirates have lost 4 in a row and 9 of their last 11. Over that latter stretch, Pittsburgh has logged a mere .589 OPS at the plate. The club’s 3.62 runs-per-game average ranks 28th in MLB.
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Phillies at Pirates projected starters
LHP Bailey Falter vs. LHP Jose Quintana
Falter (0-3, 5.18 ERA) owns a 1.45 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 33 IP in 10 games (6 starts).
Allowed 3 HR in his last start and has a 6.00 ERA in his last 21 IP. Has a 1.56 ERA, 0.63 WHIP in 7 minor league starts in 2022.Quintana (3-5, 3.70 ERA) is making his 20th start of the season. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 97 1/3 IP.
Tossed 7 shutout innings against the Miami Marlins Saturday with 4 H, 0 BB and 4 K. Owns a 1.50 ERA in his last 3 home starts and a 2.65 ERA at home for the season.Phillies at Pirates odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:31 a.m. ET.
Money line: Phillies -125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Pirates +102 (bet $102 to win $100) Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+130) | Pirates +1.5 (-160) Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!
Phillies at Pirates picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 5, Pirates 3
Money line
At 4.67 runs per game and 4.17 runs allowed, the Phils have underplayed their scoring advantage. An 11-16 record in 1-run games has not helped.
The left-lefty matchup is an advantage for Philadelphia, which owns a .756 OPS vs. port-siders (9th MLB).
Falter is a 25-year-old 2nd-year player. His Major League ERA is 5.40. His Triple-A ERA is 1.65.
TAKE THE PHILLIES (-125).
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Run line/Against the spread
Pittsburgh’s offense had been reeling before Thursday’s game.
Philadelphia’s bullpen has been improved of late (3.48 ERA in July); Pittsburgh’s relief numbers have been trending the other way.
Consider a split wager: Half on the ML and half on PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (+130).
Over/Under
The Under is a slight — but non-actionable — lean. AVOID.
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