The Chicago White Sox (38-40) host the Minnesota Twins (46-37) Tuesday at Guaranteed Rate Field for the 2nd of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Minnesota won the Monday’s series opener 6-3 in 10 innings that featured a 2-run home run by Twins CF Byron Buxton and a first-ever 8-5 triple play in the bottom of the 7th inning started by Buxton.
The Twins lead the season series 4-0 with a plus-13 run differential on the White Sox in those meetings.
Twins at White Sox projected starters
RHP Chris Archer vs. RHP Michael Kopech
Archer is 2-3 with a 3.08 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 61 1/3 IP over 15 starts.
Kopech is 2-5 with a 2.78 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 68 IP over 14 starts.
Last start: Lost 4-1 Wednesday at the Los Angeles Angels with 5 1/3 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 5 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 6 K. 2022 vs. the Twins: One start, a no-decision in a 2-1 loss in Minnesota April 22 with 5 scoreless IP, 3 H, 1 BB and 7 K.Twins at White Sox odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:16 a.m. ET.
Money line (ML): Twins +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | White Sox -130 (bet $130 to win $100) Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-180) | White Sox -1.5 (+145) Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!
Twins at White Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 5, White Sox 3
Money line
BET the TWINS (+105) only because there’s a suspicious line freeze in the betting market, Archer has been more locked in than Kopech recently, Minnesota’s lineup is more productive vs. right-handed pitching and the Twins’ bullpen ranks higher in advanced pitching numbers.
Nearly 80% of the money is on the White Sox (-130) per Pregame.com, but the line hasn’t budged off the opener. This non-line movement suggests oddsmakers are begging for more pro-White Sox wagers.
Also, Minnesota’s lineup outperforms Chicago’s vs. right-handed pitching in runs per 9 (4.77-3.88), wRC+ (106-102), wOBA (.321-.315) and hard-hit rate (34.7-31.1%), according to FanGraphs.
Finally, Minnesota’s bullpen outranks Chicago’s in ERA (4.22-3.78), WHIP (1.35-1.24), K/BB rate (2.58-2.45), swing-and-miss rates and contact rates, per FanGraphs.
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Twins +1.5 (-180) is out of my price range even though the White Sox -1.5 (+145) are just 7-19 RL as home favorites and I’m not confident enough in them to lay it with Minnesota’s alternate RL.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-120) only because Minnesota’s ML is my favorite look in the Twins-White Sox game.
But, there’s a “Pros vs. Joe’s” scenario in the betting market for the total and Twins-White Sox has a 9-16 O/U record when these starters get the nod.
More than 70% of the money is on the Under while nearly two-thirds of the bets placed are on the Over according to Pregame.com.
It’s wiser to follow the money especially when it’s counter to the public since professional bettors bet a lot more cash than your average Joe.
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