24/11/2024

Royals vs. Tigers odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Sunday, July 3 best bets from proven model

Domingo 03 de Julio del 2022

Royals vs. Tigers odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Sunday, July 3 best bets from proven model

SportsLine's model simulated the Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals game 10,000 times and released its MLB picks today

SportsLine's model simulated the Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals game 10,000 times and released its MLB picks today

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The Kansas City Royals visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers on Sunday. The American League Central rivals face off in the finale of a three-game set in Detroit. Kansas City won Friday's opener, with Detroit returning the favor on Saturday. The Royals are now 28-48 this season, and the Tigers are 30-46 as the 2022 campaign nears its halfway point.

First pitch is at 12:05 p.m. ET in Detroit. Caesars Sportsbook lists Detroit as a -145 home favorite (risk $145 to win $100) on the money line, while the over-under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is 7.5 in the latest Royals vs. Tigers odds. Before you make any Tigers vs. Royals picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a strong start to the 2022 season. It's on a 59-51 run on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 12 weeks. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves as one of three best bets to win it all last season at +1000. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Royals vs. Tigers, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Tigers vs. Royals:

  • Royals vs. Tigers money line: Tigers -145, Royals +122
  • Royals vs. Tigers over-under: 7.5 runs
  • Royals vs. Tigers run line: Tigers -1.5 (+158)
  • KC: The Royals are 14-23 in road games
  • DET: The Tigers are 19-23 in home games
  • Royals vs. Tigers picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game | Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals

Why you should back the Royals

Kansas City entered the weekend with a league-leading mark in triples, and the Royals have high-end team speed that puts pressure on opposing teams. The Royals also effectively avoid strikeouts, and Kansas City is above-average in batting average among AL clubs. The Royals are also facing a scuffling starter in Tarik Skubal, who posted a 5.85 ERA in June with an 8.84 ERA in his last four starts.

Kansas City also has a rock-solid projection on the pitching side, with Brady Singer bringing a 3.86 ERA in road games. Singer has a .626 OPS allowed against right-handed hitters, and he is walking only 1.7 walks per nine innings. He also sports a 1.148 WHIP, and Detroit ranks near the bottom of the American League in runs scored, hits, doubles, home runs, walks, batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.

Why you should back the Tigers

Detroit's pitching projection on Sunday is very effective. Kansas City has a below-average overall offense by American League standards this season, and the Tigers are sending Tarik Skubal to the mound. The 25-year-old left-hander has a 3.75 ERA with 89 strikeouts in 84 innings this season. Skubal has a 1.167 WHIP and a walk rate of only 2.3 per nine innings, with opponents posting only a .667 OPS against him this season. 

Skubal holds both right-handed and left-handed hitters to sub-.700 OPS marks, and he has a 3.13 ERA in home starts this season. Earlier in 2022, Skubal held the Royals scoreless across 5.2 innings of work, and Detroit also has a bullpen advantage. The Tigers are in the top three of the American League in wins above replacement from relief pitchers, and Kansas City is in the bottom three of the AL in bullpen ERA in 2022.

How to make Tigers vs. Royals picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 8.1 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Royals vs. Tigers? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.

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