The New York Mets (26-14) meet the Colorado Rockies (18-19) Saturday in the second game of a doubleheader stemming from a Friday rainout of the scheduled series opener. First pitch at Coors Field is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let's analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Mets vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
(Team records and stats are through Friday - pre doubleheader).
New York is 6-4 in the last 10 games and won its previous series 3-1 at home vs. the St. Louis Cardinals.
Colorado snapped a 3-game losing skid with a 5-3 home win over the San Francisco Giants Wednesday. The Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10.
Mets at Rockies projected starters
RHP Trevor Williams vs. undecided
Williams is 0-2 with a 4.20 ERA (15 IP, 7 ER), 20 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 15 K across 2 starts.
Last start: No-decision in N.Y.'s 3-1 home win over the Cardinals Tuesday with 4-scoreless IP, 4 H, 0 BB and 6 K.
LHP Austin Gomber (2-3, 4.38 ERA) was originally scheduled to start the nightcap, but the Rockies decided to give him an extra day of rest and he'll start Sunday's series finale.
Colorado, which hasn't announced their new starter for the second game of the doubleheader as of this publishing, will likely rely heavily on its bullpen, starting with an opener.
Mets at Rockies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:53 p.m. ET.
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Mets at Rockies picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 6, Rockies 3
Money line
BET METS (-125) because they have a 3-phase edge over the Rockies.
New York's bullpen is 8th in FIP (3.49) and Colorado's bullpen ranks 28th (4.28), according to FanGraphs. The Mets' lineup is 5th in wRC+ (113) and 6th in WAR (7.4), while the Rockies are 15th in wRC+ (99) and 23rd in WAR (2.6).
Williams grades in the 87th percentile or better in barrel rate (97%), BB% (95%), expected ERA (87%) and expected wOBA (87%), per Statcast.
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
New York -1.5 (+125) isn't a steep enough payout considering Colorado is better at home. The Rockies are 13-9 at home compared to 5-10 on the road. They are also 6-3 ATS as home underdogs.
Over/Under
Slight LEAN to the UNDER 10.5 (-122).
Colorado's struggles against right-handed pitching and the weather forecast is predicting temperatures in the low-40s. Typically cold weather favors pitching.
However, neither team will be starting a "top-of-the-rotation" pitcher and Coors Field is a notoriously hitter-friendly ballpark.
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