Dartmouth vs Grambling Predictions & Odds (Nov. 28)

• Dartmouth takes on Grambling State in the 210 San Antonio Shootout on Monday, November 28th
• Oddsmakers have made Grambling a slim 1.5-point favorite in the Dartmouth vs Grambling State Odds
• The rest of the Dartmouth vs Grambling State State odds are below, plus our pick and prediction

For each teams final game of the Thanksgiving weekend tournament at the University of Texas San Antonio, Dartmouth (2-4, 1-3-1 ATS) takes on Grambling State (3-3, 2-3 ATS) in what is expected to be a very close contest. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00 pm ET on Monday, November 28th in a late-afternoon matchup.

Each team has played two games in this holiday tourney that began on Friday and concludes on Monday. During their time in San Antonio, Grambling have continued their trend of going under the projected total score set by the oddsmakers. The over/under is 139.5 in this game and the Tigers have gone under that total in their last four.

We lay out the complete Dartmouth vs Grambling State odds below while offering you our analysis as well as our best bet and prediction for this matchup.

Dartmouth vs Grambling State Odds

Odds as of November 27th at FanDuel Sportsbook. Claim the FanDuel Sportsbook promo code.

Grambling suffered a two point loss to Incarnate Word on Sunday, but stomped out the hosts, UTSA, 75-55 in their tourney opener on Friday. Meanwhile, both of Dartmouth’s contests were very tight, losing by five to Incarnate Word in the opener before pulling out a one point overtime victory over UTSA.

With moneyline odds of -122, Grambling State has an implied win probability of 54.95% to win this game, while the Big Green have a 49.5% win probability with odds of +102 on the moneyline.

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Dartmouth Big Green Betting Analysis

While Grambling hasn’t been involved in many run-and-gun contests this year, the Big Green have gone over the betting total line in four of five games where an over/under was set. The win against UTSA was the first time they covered the point spread this season.

Pulled out the hard-fought road dub! 💪#TheWoods🌲 | #GoBigGreen pic.twitter.com/w6oW2zMLZM

— Dartmouth Men’s Basketball (@DartmouthMBB) November 28, 2022

Sophomore guard, Ryan Cornish propelled the offense in overtime, scoring five points and assisting on one of the buckets in an extra period where the Ivy League squad scored 10 points and needed every single one to squeak out a victory. It was just their second win of the season and first W against a Division I opponent.

Dartmouth is expected to finish near the bottom of the Ivy League this season. If they want to finish any higher, they’ll have to do a better job on the defensive side of the ball. Against Division I teams this year, the Big Green have allowed an average of 80.8 points game.

Grambling State Tigers Betting Analysis

Scoring the ball is not how this Grambling State side wins game, but the defense is the reason they are the favorites against Dartmouth in the college basketball odds. According to the KenPom Rating, their adjusted offensive efficiency is 340th in the nation at 93.0. That ranks amongst the bottom 10% of teams in Division I.

Carte'are Gordon passes out of the post to Shawndarius Cowart, who knocks down a three for the Grambling State Tigers. Grambling leads UTSA 70-45 with three minutes left. https://t.co/hyCDEtJChY pic.twitter.com/wCknTI2B2M

— Jerry Briggs (@JerryBriggs) November 26, 2022

On the other side of the ball though, they rank 225th in adjusted defensive efficiency which isn’t great, but keeps them competitive. They keep opponents to an effective field goal percentage of 47%, keeping company with the upper third of the nation in that category.

Placing an under bet on this squad just seems to be the pick this year. Check out some of these trends:

• The Under is 4-0 in the Tigers last four neutral site games
• The under is 8-3 in the Tigers last 11 Monday games
• They have held their opponents to 63 and 55 points in their first two tournament games

Dartmouth vs Grambling State Pick & Prediction

Whoever wins this game isn’t going to move up the charts in the odds to win March Madness. These are just two teams looking to make an impact in their respective conferences.

It’s expected to be a very tight game and in those cases, you don’t usually see a lot of buckets. Grambling has an edge in the odds so the bet here is that they will impose their defensive style of play and try and suffocate the Dartmouth offense.

Our prediction in the Dartmouth vs Grambling State odds is that these teams will combine to score under 139.5 points in their last game of the 210 San Antonio Shootout

Pick: Under 139.5 (-112)