In a women's strawweight bout on the main card, Michelle Waterson-Gomez and Amanda Lemos meet Saturday at UFC on ABC 3 at UBS Arena in Elmont, N.Y. Below, we analyze the UFC on ABC 3 Waterson-Gomez vs. Lemos odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The prelims can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ at 11 a.m. ET, followed by the main card on ABC/ESPN+ starts at 2 p.m.
Waterson-Gomez, a.k.a. "The Karate Hottie", is in a tailspin, going 1-3 across her last 4 bouts. She has been away from the octagon for the past 14 months due to an injury that she feared might have been career-ending.
The American's last 8 fights have gone the distance, with her winning 4 of those outings. Her last fight inside the distance was a submission loss to Rose Namajunas in April 2017.
Lemos is looking to bounce back from an embarrassing 1st-round submission loss to Jessica Andrade last time out in the main event in late April. Three of her last 5 fights have finished inside the distance.
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UFC on ABC 3 Waterson-Gomez vs. Lemos odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:55 a.m. ET.
UFC on ABC 3 Waterson-Gomez vs. Lemos picks and predictions
Records : Waterson-Gomez (18-9-0) | Lemos (11-2-1)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Lemos (-320) is a heavy favorite, costing you more than three times your potential return. That's just not a recommended long-term betting strategy, as the return is so little.
Instead, get specific on the method of victory. Waterson-Gomez is a warrior who makes her opponents work for the win. LEMOS BY POINTS (-110) is a much better value.
Over/Under (O/U)
No: Will fight go the distance (-210) is also too rich for my blood. While I expect the fight to require the judges to decide a winner, just roll with Lemos by Points, and don't risk more than two times your potential return.
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